MARCH
2007
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NATIONAL IMPERATIVES
FOR EARTH SCIENCE RESEARCH
On
March 7, 2007 Dean Otis Brown appeared before the U.S. Senate
Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation Space, Aeronautics,
and Related Sciences Subcommittee. Excerpts from his testimony
follow.
As
dean of the Rosenstiel School, I have first-hand experience
how satellite observations provide real-world results.
Following
Hurricane Katrina, imagery from our Center for Southeastern
Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing assisted relief and recovery
efforts
in New Orleans, tracking to see when and where flood waters
had receded to increase the effectiveness of rescue efforts.
Also
pertinent to the environmental challenges presenting themselves
in the Gulf states, we employed satellite observations to identify
the rate of subsidence in the Mississippi Delta and New Orleans – equally
invaluable information when making decisions about the reality
and requirements of rebuilding in this area and long-term environmental
challenges. This same imagery is what we use to monitor water
levels in the Everglades. I cannot emphasize enough how vital
satellite imagery has become to our ability to predict, plan,
prepare, and respond.
My
testimony focuses on the roles of NASA and NOAA. It also addresses
some resource and coordination issues
for these two agencies.
As
you may know I have been part of the National Research Council
(NRC) team that recently produced a decadal plan for Earth
observations from space, which provides a prioritized roadmap.
Our vision
is captured in the following declaration:
Understanding
the complex, changing planet on which we live, how it supports
life, and how
human activities affect its ability
to do so in the future is one of the greatest intellectual
challenges facing humanity. It is also one of the most important
challenges
for society as it seeks to achieve prosperity, health, and
sustainability.
The
first question the NRC committee had to address was the national
capabilities for Earth observations. We were troubled by the
answer.
We
found that the current investment strategies had led to a system
at risk of collapse. That assessment was based on
the
observed decline in funding for Earth-observation missions
in NASA and the consequent cancellation, downsizing, and delay
of
a number of critical missions and instruments in both agencies.
There are many potential consequences.
Some examples are:
Weather
forecasts and warnings may become less accurate, putting more
people at risk and diminishing the proven
economic value
of accurate forecasts – this is particularly important
to this country since we must cope with many forms of extreme
weather, be it in the form of hurricanes, tornadoes, drought,
floods or winter storms.
Climate
variability and the rate of change need to be better quantified.
Earth is warming because of a small
imbalance between
incoming solar radiation and outgoing radiation from Earth.
Without the recommended measurements, we will not be able to
quantify
how this net energy imbalance is changing, or when or if the
planet will stop warming.
Climate
models have improved steadily over the years, but are far from
perfect and must be improved
if we are to intelligently
cope with climate change. Satellites provide unique observations
of the Earth system and validate and improve these models.
Sea
level is rising and glaciers and ice fields around the world
are melting, but we just don’t know how fast these are
occurring. Without continuing quantitative observations, we can’t
know how these rates change or the implications for coastal communities.
The
bottom line is: Earth science is based fundamentally on observations.
While it is impossible to predict what scientific advances
will not occur without the observations, or what surprises
we will
miss, we can be sure the rate of scientific progress will be
greatly slowed – perhaps even undone to some degree.
Climate
variability and natural disasters are taking a significant
toll on our economy, our environment, and our well being. And,
that is why we must sustain the Earth observations that underpin
national preparedness and response. Implementing these missions
will not only greatly reduce the risk of natural disasters
of
all kinds to the people of our country and the world, they
will also support more efficient management of natural resources
including
water, energy, fisheries, and ecosystems, and support the economy.
Thus, the cost of the program is repaid many times over.