The Moore Tornado, and Common Tornado-Hurricane Misperceptions

On May 20, approximately two dozen tornado reports were scattered from Texas into Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Indiana.  Among them, one in particular combined two deadly ingredients: very intense winds and a populated urban area.  A tornado that struck Moore, OK (a southern suburb of Oklahoma City) was rated an EF5 tornado, with peak winds of 200-210mph.  An EF5 tornado contains the most violent winds on the planet — such winds are capable of leveling virtually any man-made building.

The large-scale setup for a severe weather outbreak was forecast at least a week in advance.  A 2-3 day period of all the necessary ingredients coming together at the same time was anticipated, and the peak threat was expected on May 20.  Indeed, on May 20, a tornado watch was issued for central and eastern Oklahoma at 1:10pm CDT.  Thunderstorms formed about 20 minutes later, and rapidly became severe, rotating supercells.  At 2:40pm, a tornado warning was issued for Moore, then at 3:01pm, a rare tornado emergency was issued.  From approximately 3:15-3:25pm, the massive tornado cut a path of destruction through the city, demolishing everything in its way and killing at least 24 people.

radarRadar image of the parent supercell that spawned the tornado.  This image is from 3:21pm, just as the tornado was tracking through Moore.  The magenta-purple blob is called adebris ball rather than the radar beam reflecting off of just hail and rain, it’s also hitting a concentrated airborne ball of debris from houses and other structures. The radar itself is located at the center of the black circle east of Moore.

The tornado that passed directly over Moore was on the ground for 50 minutes and for 17 miles, and was at times about 1.3 miles wide.  This suburban town has been hit by significant tornadoes five times in 15 years: the October 4, 1998 F2, the May 3, 1999 F5, the May 8, 2003 F4, the May 10, 2010 EF4, and now the May 20, 2013 EF5.  (The original Fujita Scale from 1971 was replaced by the more accurate Enhanced Fujita Scale in 2007, and as such, the shorthand tornado rankings switched from F5 to EF5, for example.)  Not surprisingly, the odds of being hit by a significant tornado are climatologically quite high in central Oklahoma in May as seen in this map.

How Do Tornadoes and Hurricanes Compare?

Sometimes people erroneously interchange these two types of storms.  The only thing they have in common is strong winds; outside of that, they are entirely different phenomena.

1) Geography

In the U.S., tornadoes are most commonly found in the Great Plains states, but have been known to occur in almost every state.  They require a parent severe thunderstorm, and a list of atmospheric conditions that is fairly well-known.  If a tornado forms or passes over water, it’s called a waterspout, but for the most part, tornadoes “prefer” land.  Hurricanes, on the other hand, require a warm ocean to form and strengthen.  Once over land, hurricanes quickly weaken.  Only certain islands and coastal areas can be hit by a hurricane, though sometimes side effects can extend further inland (strong winds, flash flooding, tornadoes).

2) Intensity

While both types of storms are capable of producing destructive winds, tornadoes can become stronger than hurricanes.  The most intense winds in a tornado can exceed 300mph, while the strongest known Atlantic hurricane contained winds of 190mph.  The scales used to categorize the two are also different, as shown below.  Tornadoes are ranked on the Enhanced Fujita Scale, while hurricanes are ranked on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.  Beyond about 120mph, winds are powerful enough to significantly damage or destroy structures.

A visual comparison of the scales used for tornadoes and for hurricanes.  On the top, the Enhanced Fujita Scale uses three-second wind gusts to define its thresholds.  On the bottom, the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale’s thresholds are defined by one-minute sustained winds.

3) Size

While a very large tornado might reach 2 miles across, typically they are much less than a half mile across.  Hurricanes, on the other hand, are several hundred miles in diameter.  Even the eyewall (the inner ring of the most intense winds) is typically about 25 miles across.  Rainbands in the outer circulation of a hurricane can spawn multiple tornadoes simultaneously, while there is no way for the opposite to occur.  Tornadoes are completely dwarfed when it comes to a size comparison.

4) Predictability & Warning

There is also a huge difference in the timescales involved between tornadoes and hurricanes.  While the large-scale environment that is favorable for tornado development can be predicted several days in advance, there is presently no way of predicting individual tornadoes even HOURS in advance.  Once a rotating thunderstorm forms, there is still no way of knowing whether or not it will spawn a tornado, or how strong that tornado will become.  A tornado warning is issued an average of 13 minutes prior to impact, giving people a very limited amount of time to take shelter.  Sometimes that lead time is longer, sometimes shorter.  Conditions that are favorable for hurricane development can also be predicted several days in advance.  But since they usually form over the open ocean, they don’t immediately affect people.  There can be anywhere from a day to well over a week before the storm hits land… if it ever does at all.  Hurricane warnings are issued up to 36 hours before strong winds are expected to affect land, giving people time to prepare themselves and their houses as best they can.  Also due to the difference in time scales, people can evacuate an area prior to a hurricane landfall, but there is no time to evacuate an area before a tornado strikes.

5) Preparation

In both cases, having a plan in place before a storm comes is very important.  When the time comes, putting that plan into action will be stressful enough.  For a tornado, the most critical part of a plan is knowing where you and your family will take shelter; it might be an interior closet or bathroom, a basement, or a storm shelter.  Tornadoes are such short-fuse violent events that you may not have time for much else than protecting life.  Hurricanes are much easier to prepare for and allow for more elaborate planning.  You will have time to protect your house with window coverings, buy supplies, organize important documents, and evacuate if necessary.  If you don’t evacuate, then it’s very similar to a tornado: find the safest location you can to stay for the duration of the storm.  While a tornado will pass over in a matter of seconds or minutes, a hurricane will take several hours to pass over.  In both cases, no shelter is perfect — the most severe tornado or hurricane is capable of such destruction that even the best plan and best shelter may prove insufficient.  But clearly, there are ways to minimize your exposure to danger, and FEMA has some valuable information and resources available at http://www.ready.gov/tornadoes and http://www.ready.gov/hurricanes.

Author: Brian Mcnoldy,Senior Research Associate in Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the University of Miami

Mesophotic Reefs: Geology in the Deep

Mesophotic, or mid-light (30-150m) reefs are home to many coral species and critical to commercial and recreational fisheries. In a recent episode of Adventures in Nature on Key Biscayne’s Channel 77, host Teri Scott interviews University of Miami (UM) Ph.D. student David Weinstein, UM Professor James Klaus, and undergrad Marine Science students Christopher Kaiser, Alyson Kuba and Meghan Jones to learn more about work underway to uncover the secrets held in these fascinating reefs.  Watch now! Mesophotic reefs

 

Check out the new CARTHE video!

Check out the new video released by the Consortium for Advanced Research on Transport of Hydrocarbons in the Environment (CARTHE)!  It highlights the team’s exciting field work at sea and computer modeling efforts. The video can be viewed at http://vimeo.com/64470122

CARTHE DIRECTOR

US Army Golden Knights Drop In To Thank RSMAS

L-R: SGT Jon Lopez, SGT Ken Severin, Dr. Roni Avissar, Rose Mann, Raul Mas, Susan Gerrish and SSGT Shelby Bixler.

L-R: SGT Jon Lopez, SGT Ken Severin, Dr. Roni Avissar, Rose Mann, Raul Mas, Susan Gerrish and SSGT Shelby Bixler.

RSMAS received members of the US Army Parachute Team, the famed “Golden Knights”, on Virginia Key where they thanked Dean Roni Avissar and other staff and faculty members for their hospitality. The Rosenstiel School hosted the Golden Knights on a picnic and shark tagging experience at the Broad Key Research Station in February. The event allowed the team to take a well-deserved break from their rigorous training schedule at Homestead Air Reserve Base. In fact, one Golden Knights team member showed up at Broad Key on crutches, not wanting to miss the opportunity to enjoy some sun, sand, surf (and sharks!)

SSGT Shelby Bixler presented Avissar and others with colorful lithographs showing the team executing a wide variety of aerial maneuvers including free-fall formations and canopy relative work. She read a message from Golden Knights Commander LTC Jose Enrique Meléndez and thanked those assembled saying that “as soldiers we’re used to serving and doing so without the expectation of reward; we were humbled by your act of kindness and wanted to say thank you for treating us like family.”

Avissar accepted his gift and thanked the Golden Knights for their military service noting that “we owe our soldiers our appreciation and anything that RSMAS has done pales in comparison to the service you provide to us.”

The Golden Knights have been in existence since 1959. They travel the US and the world doing air show demonstrations, parachuting into stadiums, participating in national and international competitions and performing tandem parachute jumps with distinguished guests such as former President George H.W. Bush. They are the face of the US Army and proudly represent the more than one million soldiers that make up its ranks. http://armygk.armylive.dodlive.mil/

‘Golden Knights’ SSGT Shelby Bixler, SGT Jon Lopez and SGT Ken Severin took a tour of the University of Miami’s research vessel, the F.G. Walton Smith with Captain Shawn Lake.

‘Golden Knights’ SSGT Shelby Bixler, SGT Jon Lopez and SGT Ken Severin took a tour of the University of Miami’s research vessel, the F.G. Walton Smith with Captain Shawn Lake.

2013 Sea Secrets Lecture Series – Mark Your Calendar for the Season!

Screen shot 2013-01-10 at 3.06.34 PMThe Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science and the Ocean Research and Education Foundation have teamed up once again to host distinguished scientists and explorers as part of the 2013 Sea Secrets lecture series.  The events are free and open to the public. Programs take place in the Rosenstiel School Auditorium, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway on Virginia Key, Fla. beginning with a reception at 5:30 p.m., followed by the lecture at 6:00 p.m.

 

Wednesday, January 16, 2013
BIMINI HOAX: THE TRUTH ABOUT ATLANTIS
Eugene A. Shinn, Professor, University of South Florida College of Marine Science & UM Alumnus

The mysterious rock megaliths off the island of Bimini in The Bahamas have interested geologists and New Age thinkers for more than 50 years. Some believe the stones are remnants of the lost city of Atlantis, while geologist have alternative ideas. Geologist Gene Shinn has been involved in the heated controversy over these megaliths since the 1970s when he headed up the US Geological Survey field station on Fisher Island. Gene majored in biology on a music scholarship at the University of Miami, while at the same time becoming a national spearfishing champion, underwater-explosives expert and photographer. His dynamic presentation will illustrate why New Agers feel so strongly about the megaliths origin. The adventure is also described in his upcoming memoir, Bootstrap Geologist.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013
RATIONAL COMEDY FOR AN IRRATIONAL PLANET
Brian Malow, Earth’s Premier Science Humorist (self-proclaimed)

Plunge into marine science with comedian Brian Malow.  From coral reefs to the Marianas Trench, plankton to whales, photosynthesis to climate change, he will discover the lighter side and bring it to the surface. Malow has been featured in Nature, The Washington Post, and The New York Times, and in programs such as The Late, Late Show with Craig Ferguson and NPR’s Science Friday with Ira Flatow. He has also performed to rave reviews for NASA, JPL, NIST, NSF, AAAS – and many other acronyms.  He creates science videos for Time Magazine’s website and is a contributor to Neil deGrasse Tyson’s radio show.  Currently working in science communications at the North Carolina Museum of Natural Sciences, Malow is widely acclaimed for his workshops and presentations which help train scientists to become better speakers.

Wednesday, March 13, 2013
THE HUMAN FACTOR: OUR IMPACT ON EARTH’S FINAL FRONTIER
Charles Fisher, Professor of Biology, Pennsylvania State University

Considered by many to be the planet’s final frontier for exploration, the deep sea is home to a wealth of mineral, oil and gas deposits that mankind’s ever- increasing population will need in the future. Biologist Chuck Fisher has been studying the communities that live around natural oil and gas seeps in the deep Gulf of Mexico, and those that live on deep sea hydrothermal vents since their discovery about 30 years ago. This pioneer in the field is an expert on the amazing evolutionary adaptations of giant tubeworms and other strange animals to the extreme, often toxic environments of undersea volcanoes and oil seeps. With the first deep sea mining of hydrothermal vents scheduled for 2013, and drilling in the Gulf moving into deeper and deeper water, much of Fisher’s research is now addressing the ecology of these poorly known communities and their resiliency to human impacts.

Wednesday, April 17, 2013
CHOREOGRAPHING OCEAN CONSERVATION
Tierney Thys, National Geographic Explorer

We need to tap all of our creative talents to help conserve our vital ocean resources. With this in mind, National Geographic Explorer, Tierney Thys, works closely with photographers, dancers, filmmakers, gamers and other artists to help infuse quality science and conservation messaging into their work. In addition to conducting her own research on the giant ocean sunfish Mola mola, this scientist and ocean conservationist is: the writer/ producer for Stories from the Sea–an award-winning TEDed web series; the lead science advisor for the renowned dance troupe, Capacitor’s, Okeanos Project and; Daily Explorer in AnimalJam.com, an online world for 6-9 year olds with 6 million registered players. She served as Director of Research for the acclaimed Strange Days on Planet Earth PBS documentary series on global environmental change. In this media rich presentation, this TED braintrust member will present examples of what has and hasn’t worked, and discuss the value of reaching both the heart and mind to move conservation issues forward.

Winners of the University of Miami’s 2013 Underwater Photography Contest will be announced after the lecture and winning images will be on display at the Rosenstiel School library.
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
DUST, CLOUDS AND CLIMATE:  WHAT WE CAN’T SEE CAN HURT US
Amy Clement, Professor of Meteorology & Physical Oceanography at UM

Gases, cloud droplets and dust exist all around us. This often-invisible ‘stuff’ in the atmosphere plays a major role in driving changes to our climate. The greenhouse gas carbon dioxide, for example, has a well-known warming effect on the climate and will continue to raise the planet’s temperature for the foreseeable future. Cloud and dust particles reflect and absorb radiation, which can alter the rate of climate change, but there are large uncertainties in how dust and clouds will change in the future. The implications are global, but they can have major consequences for life here in South Florida by affecting how fast the sea level rises. Award-winning climate scientist Dr. Amy Clement will discuss the current state-of-the-art science that is focused on studying these gases and particles, how we detect them and most importantly, how we can evaluate their impacts.

NOTE: This year the series will offer attendees the opportunity to become a Sea Secrets VIP when they reserve a seat for the entire season. $500 for two seats or $300 for one seat will guarantee premium seating, plus a personalized plaque on an auditorium seat and a VIP dinner. Donations go toward the renovation of the Auditorium and are tax-deductible. For more information, please contact Susan Gerrish at sgerrish@rsmas.miami.edu.

Sea Secrets is sponsored by The Shepard Broad Foundation, The Charles N. and Eleanor Knight Leigh Foundation and Southern Wine & Spirits, and organized by UM Professor Emeritus Robert N. Ginsburg.

Top This! New Facilty Reaches Milestone

IMG_0168On Wednesday, January 9 more than 200 construction crew members attended a ceremony to celebrate the ‘Topping Off’ of the Marine Technology and Life Sciences Seawater Complex on the campus of UM’s Rosenstiel School.  The ceremony is a builder’s tradition that marks when the last beam is placed at the top of a building.  Speakers at the event included Mr. Dagoberto Diaz and Mr. Rex Kirby of Suffolk Construction; Dr. Michael Schmale of the University of Miami; and Chief Architect Peter Sollogub of Cambridge Seven Associates.

IMG_0001Dean Avissar and co-PI’s Mike Schmale and Brian Haus were among those who signed the beam which was hoisted into place after lunch. The beam was deposited next to an evergreen tree placed upon the structure to bring growth and good luck.  Workers were also treated to a raffle with gifts from Gerdau – Tampa Reinforcing Steel, Lotspeich Company, Inc., Meisner Electric, Inc., Maxim Crane, Sun Belt Rental, J & J Caulking and the UM.

The new complex is located amid the thriving science community on Virginia Key, Fla. Funded in part through a $15 million U.S. Department of Commerce American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) grant awarded by the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST), the project will be completed in late 2013.

The Surge-Structure-Atmosphere Interaction (SUSTAIN) research laboratory occupying one of the two buildings will be the only facility in the world with a wind-wave-storm surge simulator capable of generating Category 5 hurricane force winds in a 3D environment. The 28,000 gallons of filtered seawater pumped into the building will allow scientists to directly observe and quantify critical storm factors such as sea spray and momentum transfers across the ocean’s surface in extreme wind conditions. A sophisticated wave generator will enable simulation of realistic storm surge impacts.

The Marine Life Sciences Center, occupying the other building, will provide a dedicated space for maintaining and studying living marine animals including fish, corals and sea hares. Coral reef research will focus on helping to assess and measure the effects of climate change and ocean acidification on critical reef-building processes.  Scientists will also conduct fisheries and biological oceanography research to generate models of the biological and physical processes that affect the distribution of marine organisms.  They will also study the impacts of environmental toxicants including heavy metals, pharmaceuticals and toxins on fishes and invertebrates, and use marine genomics to better understand how gene expression changes in marine populations chronically exposed to pollution.

Congratulations to everyone who has been working so hard to make this building a reality! Check out the photo gallery below for a few photos from the event.