The Moore Tornado, and Common Tornado-Hurricane Misperceptions

On May 20, approximately two dozen tornado reports were scattered from Texas into Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Indiana.  Among them, one in particular combined two deadly ingredients: very intense winds and a populated urban area.  A tornado that struck Moore, OK (a southern suburb of Oklahoma City) was rated an EF5 tornado, with peak winds of 200-210mph.  An EF5 tornado contains the most violent winds on the planet — such winds are capable of leveling virtually any man-made building.

The large-scale setup for a severe weather outbreak was forecast at least a week in advance.  A 2-3 day period of all the necessary ingredients coming together at the same time was anticipated, and the peak threat was expected on May 20.  Indeed, on May 20, a tornado watch was issued for central and eastern Oklahoma at 1:10pm CDT.  Thunderstorms formed about 20 minutes later, and rapidly became severe, rotating supercells.  At 2:40pm, a tornado warning was issued for Moore, then at 3:01pm, a rare tornado emergency was issued.  From approximately 3:15-3:25pm, the massive tornado cut a path of destruction through the city, demolishing everything in its way and killing at least 24 people.

Radar image of the parent supercell that spawned the tornado. This image is from 3:21pm, just as the tornado was tracking through Moore. The magenta-purple blob is called a “debris ball”… rather than the radar beam reflecting off of just hail and rain, it’s also hitting a concentrated airborne ball of debris from houses and other structures. The radar itself is located at the center of the black circle east of Moore.

The tornado that passed directly over Moore was on the ground for 50 minutes and for 17 miles, and was at times about 1.3 miles wide.  This suburban town has been hit by significant tornadoes five times in 15 years: the October 4, 1998 F2, the May 3, 1999 F5, the May 8, 2003 F4, the May 10, 2010 EF4, and now the May 20, 2013 EF5.  (The original Fujita Scale from 1971 was replaced by the more accurate Enhanced Fujita Scale in 2007, and as such, the shorthand tornado rankings switched from F5 to EF5, for example.)  Not surprisingly, the odds of being hit by a significant tornado are climatologically quite high in central Oklahoma in May as seen in this map.

How Do Tornadoes and Hurricanes Compare?

Sometimes people erroneously interchange these two types of storms.  The only thing they have in common is strong winds; outside of that, they are entirely different phenomena.

1) Geography

In the U.S., tornadoes are most commonly found in the Great Plains states, but have been known to occur in almost every state.  They require a parent severe thunderstorm, and a list of atmospheric conditions that is fairly well-known.  If a tornado forms or passes over water, it’s called a waterspout, but for the most part, tornadoes “prefer” land.  Hurricanes, on the other hand, require a warm ocean to form and strengthen.  Once over land, hurricanes quickly weaken.  Only certain islands and coastal areas can be hit by a hurricane, though sometimes side effects can extend further inland (strong winds, flash flooding, tornadoes).

2) Intensity

While both types of storms are capable of producing destructive winds, tornadoes can become stronger than hurricanes.  The most intense winds in a tornado can exceed 300mph, while the strongest known Atlantic hurricane contained winds of 190mph.  The scales used to categorize the two are also different, as shown below.  Tornadoes are ranked on the Enhanced Fujita Scale, while hurricanes are ranked on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.  Beyond about 120mph, winds are powerful enough to significantly damage or destroy structures.

A visual comparison of the scales used for tornadoes and for hurricanes. On the top, the Enhanced Fujita Scale uses three-second wind gusts to define its thresholds. On the bottom, the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale’s thresholds are defined by one-minute sustained winds.

3) Size

While a very large tornado might reach 2 miles across, typically they are much less than a half mile across.  Hurricanes, on the other hand, are several hundred miles in diameter.  Even the eyewall (the inner ring of the most intense winds) is typically about 25 miles across.  Rainbands in the outer circulation of a hurricane can spawn multiple tornadoes simultaneously, while there is no way for the opposite to occur.  Tornadoes are completely dwarfed when it comes to a size comparison.

4) Predictability & Warning

There is also a huge difference in the timescales involved between tornadoes and hurricanes.  While the large-scale environment that is favorable for tornado development can be predicted several days in advance, there is presently no way of predicting individual tornadoes even HOURS in advance.  Once a rotating thunderstorm forms, there is still no way of knowing whether or not it will spawn a tornado, or how strong that tornado will become.  A tornado warning is issued an average of 13 minutes prior to impact, giving people a very limited amount of time to take shelter.  Sometimes that lead time is longer, sometimes shorter.  Conditions that are favorable for hurricane development can also be predicted several days in advance.  But since they usually form over the open ocean, they don’t immediately affect people.  There can be anywhere from a day to well over a week before the storm hits land… if it ever does at all.  Hurricane warnings are issued up to 36 hours before strong winds are expected to affect land, giving people time to prepare themselves and their houses as best they can.  Also due to the difference in time scales, people can evacuate an area prior to a hurricane landfall, but there is no time to evacuate an area before a tornado strikes.

5) Preparation

In both cases, having a plan in place before a storm comes is very important.  When the time comes, putting that plan into action will be stressful enough.  For a tornado, the most critical part of a plan is knowing where you and your family will take shelter; it might be an interior closet or bathroom, a basement, or a storm shelter.  Tornadoes are such short-fuse violent events that you may not have time for much else than protecting life.  Hurricanes are much easier to prepare for and allow for more elaborate planning.  You will have time to protect your house with window coverings, buy supplies, organize important documents, and evacuate if necessary.  If you don’t evacuate, then it’s very similar to a tornado: find the safest location you can to stay for the duration of the storm.  While a tornado will pass over in a matter of seconds or minutes, a hurricane will take several hours to pass over.  In both cases, no shelter is perfect — the most severe tornado or hurricane is capable of such destruction that even the best plan and best shelter may prove insufficient.  But clearly, there are ways to minimize your exposure to danger, and FEMA has some valuable information and resources available at http://www.ready.gov/tornadoes and http://www.ready.gov/hurricanes.

Author: Brian McNoldy,Senior Research Associate in Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the University of Miami

Mentoring Matters!

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On May 10th seventeen RSMAS faculty members, including most of our Division Chairs and Deans, met for a four-hour workshop on “Why Mentoring Matters.”

In the workshop, faculty learned that Institutions with active mentoring are more likely to have productive employees with strong institutional commitment and that good mentoring of junior colleagues, postdocs, and students will lead to a more satisfying, collegial, and productive environment at RSMAS for all. A good mentor will make themselves available, give positive affirmation, actively listen, define expectations, and act as a role model for their mentees, as well as challenging and sponsoring them. In their turn, a good mentee has the responsibility to be pro-active, keep commitments, strive for excellence, and be open to both criticism and praise. An excellent quality for both mentors and mentees is to maintain a sense of humor, which is an antidote for anxiety and frustration!


Faculty discussed ideas for improving mentoring at RSMAS, including establishing a team mentoring plan for postdocs, and facilitating new faculty and postdocs in finding the right mentor for their needs.

The mentoring workshop was given by Dr. W. Brad Johnson, who is professor of psychology in the Department of Leadership, Ethics, and Law at the US Naval Academy and author of eleven books in the areas of mentoring, professional ethics, and counseling. The workshop was funded jointly by Dean Avissar and UM SEEDS (Scientists and Engineers Expanding Diversity and Success).

Text provided by Dr.Lisa Beal, photos by Barbra Gonzalez.

Check out the new CARTHE video!

Check out the new video released by the Consortium for Advanced Research on Transport of Hydrocarbons in the Environment (CARTHE)!  It highlights the team’s exciting field work at sea and computer modeling efforts. The video can be viewed at http://vimeo.com/64470122

CARTHE DIRECTOR

Top This! New Facilty Reaches Milestone

IMG_0168On Wednesday, January 9 more than 200 construction crew members attended a ceremony to celebrate the ‘Topping Off’ of the Marine Technology and Life Sciences Seawater Complex on the campus of UM’s Rosenstiel School.  The ceremony is a builder’s tradition that marks when the last beam is placed at the top of a building.  Speakers at the event included Mr. Dagoberto Diaz and Mr. Rex Kirby of Suffolk Construction; Dr. Michael Schmale of the University of Miami; and Chief Architect Peter Sollogub of Cambridge Seven Associates.

IMG_0001Dean Avissar and co-PI’s Mike Schmale and Brian Haus were among those who signed the beam which was hoisted into place after lunch. The beam was deposited next to an evergreen tree placed upon the structure to bring growth and good luck.  Workers were also treated to a raffle with gifts from Gerdau – Tampa Reinforcing Steel, Lotspeich Company, Inc., Meisner Electric, Inc., Maxim Crane, Sun Belt Rental, J & J Caulking and the UM.

The new complex is located amid the thriving science community on Virginia Key, Fla. Funded in part through a $15 million U.S. Department of Commerce American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) grant awarded by the National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST), the project will be completed in late 2013.

The Surge-Structure-Atmosphere Interaction (SUSTAIN) research laboratory occupying one of the two buildings will be the only facility in the world with a wind-wave-storm surge simulator capable of generating Category 5 hurricane force winds in a 3D environment. The 28,000 gallons of filtered seawater pumped into the building will allow scientists to directly observe and quantify critical storm factors such as sea spray and momentum transfers across the ocean’s surface in extreme wind conditions. A sophisticated wave generator will enable simulation of realistic storm surge impacts.

The Marine Life Sciences Center, occupying the other building, will provide a dedicated space for maintaining and studying living marine animals including fish, corals and sea hares. Coral reef research will focus on helping to assess and measure the effects of climate change and ocean acidification on critical reef-building processes.  Scientists will also conduct fisheries and biological oceanography research to generate models of the biological and physical processes that affect the distribution of marine organisms.  They will also study the impacts of environmental toxicants including heavy metals, pharmaceuticals and toxins on fishes and invertebrates, and use marine genomics to better understand how gene expression changes in marine populations chronically exposed to pollution.

Congratulations to everyone who has been working so hard to make this building a reality! Check out the photo gallery below for a few photos from the event.  

RSMAS Professor Lisa Beal Visits Cape Town School

IMG_9044RSMAS Professor Lisa Beal was in Cape Town, South Africa in Oct. 2012 for the AGU Chapman Conference on the Greater Agulhas System. The conference was the first of its kind on the African continent and the first conference wholly dedicated to the Agulhas System, which has recently been suggested to play an important role in global climate change (Beal et al., Nature, 2011).
While in Cape Town, she and NOAA scientist Dr. Meghan Cronin visited a science class at the Sophumelela Secondary School to talk about oceans role in the climate system and the Agulhas current that helps shape the regional climate in South Africa.

The Agulhas Current flows as a fast and narrow stream along the east coast of South Africa and is the western boundary current of the south Indian Ocean subtropical gyre. The Greater Agulhas System comprises the sources and influences of the Agulhas current, including its leakage of Indian Ocean waters into the Atlantic south of Africa.
The Chapman Conference was highly multi-disciplinary, including research into the fisheries and ecosystems, coupled ocean-atmosphere processes, water masses and dynamics, and past and future states – through paleoceanography and modeling – of the Greater Agulhas System.
Dr. Beal was one of four lead conveners of the conference, along with Will de Ruijter from University of Utrecht in the Netherlands, Arne Biastoch from GEOMAR Kiel in Germany, and Rainer Zahn from University of Barcelona in Spain.
Click here to read more about Dr. Beal’s research on the Agulhas current.
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School Visit to Cape Town’s Sophumelela Secondary School Introduces Ocean Currents to Students

Thanks to the efforts of Juliet Hermes and Thomas Mtontsi of the South African Environmental Observation Network (SAEON) Drs. Meghan Cronin (NOAA) and I visited Mr. Ndemane’s science class at Sophumelela Secondary School in the township of Phillipi on the Cape Flats outside of Cape Town, South Africa this past October 2012.

During the presentation we introduced ocean currents to the learners, in particular the Agulhas Current, and discussed their impact on sea surface temperature (SST) and climate. I annotated ocean currents on blow-up globes to donate to the students as fun learning tools.

The high school students were clearly engaged and one learner stood up and thanked us for meeting with them and encouraging them to be scientists. Another learner from the SAEON program came up afterwards to ask for advice on a science fair project on climate change.

The class is involved in the NOAA Adopt A Drifter program (ADP), whereby three pairs of drifters were deployed in the Agulhas Current. Data from these drifters contribute to the NOAA Global Drifter Program (GDP), a component of the Global Ocean Observing System, and can be viewed at http://www.adp.noaa.gov/track_drifting_buoys.html.

I hope to see these learners again next February, when they have been invited to visit the R/V Knorr while she is in Cape Town, on the way to the final scientific cruise of the Agulhas Current Time-series experiment.

IMG_9044Lisa Beal, Ph.D. is an associate professor of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science and Principal Investigator of the Agulhas Current Time-series experiment http://act.rsmas.miami.edu/