M. Toner, A.D. Kirwan, L. Kantha, J. Choi
University of Delaware
toner@udel.edu
(Abstract received 07/31/2000 for session C)
ABSTRACT
Drifter data from the Gulf of Mexico are used to assess and enhance a primitive equation, general circulation model. The analysis is made in a 450 km by 450 km open subdomain encompassing a warm core Loop Current ring. The model velocity field is compared with position data from four drifters at the drogue depth of 50m using geometrical orthogonal functions (GOFs). An Eulerian velocity field is reconstructed from the model velocity field and drifter velocities. This reconstructed velocity improves the accuracy of numerical trajectories relative to the model field by at least an order of magnitude, as quantified by two Lagrangian error metrics referenced to the real drifter paths. Enhancement of the model velocity field is determined by two tests: the ability of the GOF velocity field to: 1) improve the forecast of drifter positions using only a posteri data and 2) improve the forecast of withheld drifter data.